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Seasonal Climate Watch July to November 2020

The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is currently in a Neutral state and the forecast indicates that it will most likely move towards weak La Nina state during spring. The influence of ENSO during the winter months on South African rainfall and temperature is limited during the coming seasons, thus there is no additional information to interpret with the seasonal forecasts.

The multi-model rainfall forecast for late-winter and early-spring (Jul-Aug-Sep, Aug-Sep-Oct) indicate increased chances of above-normal rainfall over the South-Western and Southern parts of the country with drier than normal conditions throughout the rest of South Africa. In general, most of the country is expected to experience above-normal temperatures during late-winter and early-spring.

The South African Weather Service will continue to monitor and provide updates on any future assessments that may provide more clarity on the current expectations for the coming seasons.

read more: Seasonal Climate Watch July to November 2020